cancel
Showing results for 
Show  only  | Search instead for 
Did you mean: 

The economy, recession, and your inventory

The Dow Jones took another major hit this morning.  Down another 2,000 points until trading was halted.  When trading was allowed again the market continued a downward spiral, then up a bit, then began a roller coaster ride for another day.  On a personal note, those of us who saved all our lives are holding our collective breaths as we watch our funds ghosting away.  

 

More major events cancelling,  attendance restrictions, school closings, scary news everywhere.

 

Two financial experts interviewed on CNN when asked if a USA recession is possible both stated a world wide recession has already begun.  Expect the USA to be involved and expect gov bailouts to not be enough and not soon enough.

 

So, with all this scary news, sellers can expect buyers to scale back their spending and probably focus on necessary items before other purchases.  

 

However, as with the last economic crisis, buyers did continue to purchase online and will do so now.

 

The question is, where do your items fall between necessary purchases and discretionary, feel good wants?   Will you acquire additional inventory that will appeal to those who choose to stay home more?  Will your inventory be relevant to the buyer market?  

 

Not fear mongering or dramatizing anything here.  Just wondering if other sellers, like myself, are considering if current inventory needs to be tweaked and how my business can best survive a long term economic downturn. 

 

Thoughts?

   

Message 1 of 15
latest reply
14 REPLIES 14

Re: The economy, recession, and your inventory

My stuff is 100% discretionary, and since I have plenty of inventory I have stopped buying, except when the offering is extra juicy. On the other hand my listings are geared towards younger, more affluent crowd, so I am not sure how I am going to be impacted.
Message 2 of 15
latest reply

Re: The economy, recession, and your inventory

Every single item in my inventory is a feel-good collectible sort of item.  I expect that sales will slow down or stop completely. I'm already starting to see that happen. But eventually people may decide they do want some items that help them feel good again.

Message 3 of 15
latest reply

Re: The economy, recession, and your inventory

The word of the day year is UNCERTAINTY. With the FM in charge, anything can happen.

Message 4 of 15
latest reply

Re: The economy, recession, and your inventory

Not tweaking a thing and going to continue to buy anything I can make a good profit on. why would I let outside circumstances beyond my control dictate my business and how I go about running it?

Message 5 of 15
latest reply

Re: The economy, recession, and your inventory

Those selling toilet roll will be just fine but if your not selling toilet roll your sales will be in the toilet! 😊

Message 6 of 15
latest reply

Re: The economy, recession, and your inventory

I agree that sales may slow or stop, but then again, people can shop online.  I plan to keep adding new items.

Inventory?? I have plenty. This will be a great time to clean out closets - finding more items to list!! 😊

Message 7 of 15
latest reply

Re: The economy, recession, and your inventory

The Motley Fool, an investment advice blog, has a post on Warren Buffett's take on the current situation.
I was particularly struck by this :

 

4. Don't view stocks as ticker symbols

To help maintain a clear head during stock market crashes, investors should remember that they are business owners -- not ticker symbol owners. While stock prices may plummet, the majority of companies with good business models and strong competitive advantages will likely see a far smaller negative impact to their underlying businesses during these periods. So, be sure to detach stock price performance from business performance.

Buffett elaborated on this concept in Berkshire's most recent shareholder letter:

"Charlie and I view the marketable common stocks that Berkshire owns as interests in businesses,not as ticker symbols to be bought or sold based on their 'chart' patterns, the'target' prices of analysts or the opinions of media pundits. Instead, we simply believe that if the businesses of the investees are successful (as we believe most will be) our investments will be successful as well."

 

Message 8 of 15
latest reply

Re: The economy, recession, and your inventory

Most of my stock is collectibles, stamps, postcards, books, but another important part is sewing patterns.

 

With fears of going to the mall to shop, and nervousness about buying from China, where so much of our clothing is made, I might see a small uptick in pattern sales.

Of course, only to people who already own sewing machines...

 

My sales are off, but I also had to remove some 600 listings while I moved the stock out of the way of the floor installer.  I'm spending these sunny spring days relisting instead of planting out annuals.

Message 9 of 15
latest reply

Re: The economy, recession, and your inventory

My items are just stuff I'm trying to downsize so I can fit a big house into a two bedroom senior apartment (which I'm glad I'm not living in right now -- too many old folks in a confined space!). On my main ID I'd removed some large Vernonware pitchers that are too expensive to ship. I put them on Facebook and finally one of the two people that expressed any interest said he'd come. I decided to put a bunch of other serving pieces out, "just in case" and it worked! 4 big pitchers, 2 oversized platters, a coffee pot and a bunch of large bowls all went to a new home.

 

This happened Monday evening. I wouldn't expect anyone to be buying Boomer and MCM stuff right now. For gosh sake's, they've just closed Disneyland until the end of the month!

Message 10 of 15
latest reply

Re: The economy, recession, and your inventory


@b86fiero wrote:

The question is, where do your items fall between necessary purchases and discretionary, feel good wants?   Will you acquire additional inventory that will appeal to those who choose to stay home more?  Will your inventory be relevant to the buyer market?  


My inventory is entirely discretionary collectible foolishness, so my sales will probably take a hit.

 

But my inventory already paid for itself ten times over 5 years ago, so I could burn it all to keep warm next winter and not think twice about it.

Message 11 of 15
latest reply

Re: The economy, recession, and your inventory

Kudos to you & your "just in case" marketing success!

Message 12 of 15
latest reply

Re: The economy, recession, and your inventory


@kateinthe26th wrote:

Those selling toilet roll will be just fine but if your not selling toilet roll your sales will be in the toilet! 😊


...or on a roll.


When you dine with leopards, it is wise to check the menu lest you find yourself as the main course.

#freedomtoread
#readbannedbooks
Message 13 of 15
latest reply

Re: The economy, recession, and your inventory

@femmefan1946 

 

Reading that, I might think that Mr. Buffett would shy away from investing in ebay.

Not saying 'NO' doesn't mean 'YES'.

The foolishness of one's actions or words is determined by the number of witnesses.

Perhaps if Brains were described as an APP, many people would use them more often.

Respect, like money, is only of 'worth' when it is earned - with all due respect, it can not be ordained, legislated or coerced. Anonymous
Message 14 of 15
latest reply

Re: The economy, recession, and your inventory


@chapeau-noir wrote:

@kateinthe26th wrote:

Those selling toilet roll will be just fine but if your not selling toilet roll your sales will be in the toilet! 😊


...or on a roll.


(Groan, roll over, groan again)

Not saying 'NO' doesn't mean 'YES'.

The foolishness of one's actions or words is determined by the number of witnesses.

Perhaps if Brains were described as an APP, many people would use them more often.

Respect, like money, is only of 'worth' when it is earned - with all due respect, it can not be ordained, legislated or coerced. Anonymous
Message 15 of 15
latest reply