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Can anyone please tell me how to to research the results of past auctions on rare items. TY.

Trying to find a way to research past selling prices and trends on rarer items. thank you.

Message 1 of 22
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21 REPLIES 21

Re: Can anyone please tell me how to to research the results of past auctions on rare items. TY.

Thank you for taking the time to explain all that.  I have been told that NONE of these Beanie Baby results are accurate. According to what you said, though, the buyer paid for these items.

 

15 million for one Beanie baby, $95,000 for 3, $50K for another.

 

anasazirose_0-1691599539915.png

You are right, I still don't understand.  You said " Terapeak does not show sold listings unless the buyer paid for them. The main advantage of Terapeak is that it shows the actual amount that the buyer paid, for both the purchase price and the shipping."  Then you said, "This is also how we know that the sold and completed item searches do not include all ended listings, and do not show the actual price that the buyer paid in some cases. This is why the sold items search is not effective for doing price research."

 

Terapeak is either right or wrong.  Since the researcher has to decide, Terapeak can not be accurate.  What am I still missing?

Message 16 of 22
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Re: Can anyone please tell me how to to research the results of past auctions on rare items. TY.

@anasazirose,

 

If you're going to take the view that everything has to be either black or white. Right or wrong. No possibility of a gray area. Then you're correct. Terapeak is wrong.

 

Nevertheless, Terapeak is still pretty much the most accurate information you can get anywhere, when it is interpreted with critical thought and judgement. If you will only accept data that doesn't require interpretation, there isn't any. There is no perfect data. If you insist on perfect, then you will either have to do without, or you will be deceived.

 

Data is not black or white, and neither right or wrong, it has no meaning of it's own. The data from Terapeak is just numbers, ones and zeros, nothing more. Without interpretation, it doesn't mean anything. Just like all other data.

 

I'm not trying to be difficult, condescending, pedantic, or snarky. This is the nature of data. One of the biggest difficulties with scientific research is that data can be misinterpreted. Once more information becomes available, the scientists may be able to see another interpretation, that fits the data better.  This happens all the time, in science. Theories change, evolve, are replaced.

 

In the case of Terapeak, we need to consider what kind of definition could Terapeak be using for "paid". The information  (paid or not paid) has to come from eBay, and eBay could be getting it from a couple of sources. The payment processor (MP or Adyen) could say that it was paid, but they might not be aware if the payment was fraudulent, or from a stolen credit card, because it might take months before that was determined. Or, the information might be from the seller marking an item paid, and eBay has no way to know if the seller was deceived or cheated. For very high payment amounts, the chances are that MP would not be involved, and who knows if the $5M payment went through a real escrow service or a fraudulent one.

 

The market data for beanie babies has been so mucked up by scammers, that the only meaning there is in the market data, is that is completely mucked up and useless. The only useful conclusion that can be drawn, is that the market data which apparently shows they have high value, is wrong. If you interpret the data by eliminating the high-priced outliers, you could probably get a better idea of the real value and demand for them (both fairly low).

 

In a very few cases, the sellers who supposedly sold items like high-priced beanie babies (or common old stamps or coins, for another example) have shared enough information for us to realize that they were dealing with scammers who were using the apparent high prices to take advantage of the sellers and steal from them. Most often, the scammers stole money in the form of gift cards, or delivery fees, or insurance payments, like the vehicle scammers do.

 

Message 17 of 22
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Re: Can anyone please tell me how to to research the results of past auctions on rare items. TY.


@ebeths_eclectic_collectibles wrote:

“It was depressing how low the prices were that they brought on Ebay.

 

Clearly, the venue you sell them on must be carefully selected.”

or maybe acquiring the item to sell was a mistake in the first place. I must say I do the best I can to dodge that bullet.


Since you quoted me to make your point, I need to point out that was only a partial quote and that I stated that I checked items which I knew the prices they could be sold for.

 

That does not change that if you are planning to sell on Ebay, the prices would IMO not be a mistake, but you can miss a lot of opportunities if you only have Ebay as a sales venue. Which also means you could miss many opportunities if you do not use Ebay as a sales venue.

 

You can also on some truly rare items, exceed the prices previously obtained on Ebay if you are adequately skilled.

 

When you sell on Ebay, what you know and how you use that knowledge can make a huge difference in how much you profit.

Message 18 of 22
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Re: Can anyone please tell me how to to research the results of past auctions on rare items. TY.


@slippinjimmy wrote:

@anasazirose wrote:

If it's an expensive item, I recommend the services that don't use Terapeak, if any do, and I don't recommend Terapeak.  See my recent post here "Can't trust Terapeak for research" https://community.ebay.com/t5/Selling/Can-t-trust-Terapeak-for-research/m-p/33915512#M2256697

 

Terapeak shows results for 2 years, however, if the item is <30 days old, you can click on it to verify that the item sold. I saw an item in Terapeak that sold for $565, yet clicking on the item showed it had one bid and sold for $120. 

 

There are also Beanie Babies that have sold for thousands, but most people believe that those are hoaxes to artificially inflate prices. 

 

Terapeak apparently does not remove listings from the research if the buyer doesn't pay.  You can see this sometimes when the exact same item is listed more than once in Terapeak.  Now, the seller may have more than one, but when it's the same picture, I don't trust it, especially if it sells for a large amount the 1st time and a lot less the next time.

 

I've also posted before about Terapeak not matching the item's page.  Some members here commented that an offer was accepted.  I don't believe ebay has ever explained the discrepancies.  They may be content to let the false high prices mislead people. 


It was demonstrated on that thread that Terapeak DID in fact have correct information for that listing.

 

 


On this thread? The one linked above? https://community.ebay.com/t5/Selling/Can-t-trust-Terapeak-for-research/m-p/33915512#M2256697  Terapeak has the wrong information.  Item shows huge price difference. Whether ebay cancelled the sale, or it did not go through, there is a discrepancy between the one and only bid and what Terapeak reported .

 

If you're referring to the previous Terapeak post I made, I posted about 2 items.  It was said there was an offer, and Terapeak reported correctly.  However, in my experience, when I look at listings where an offer was accepted, there is a line through the price.  This was not the case in those 2 listings.  If the buyer and seller agreed on a different price after the fact and Terapeak reported the transacted amount, then great.  Nothing is verifiable, and in those cases the Terapeak reported amount is less than the final bid or sale price. 

 

In the Terapeak results for the Singer attachments, the Terapeak amount is about 300% more than the listing shows.  If it was a fraud case or a cancelled by ebay item, ok.  But the Terapeak results are still wrong.  The item did not sell for the Terapeak reported price.

 

After the time frame where the item is no longer able to be viewed, these results may still be in Terapeak and will be false.  Who will know that they can't be trusted if Ebay never explains on it's site how, when and why Terapeak can be wrong or if they don't remove the false information from Terapeak?

 

 

 

 

Message 19 of 22
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Re: Can anyone please tell me how to to research the results of past auctions on rare items. TY.


@lacemaker3 wrote:

@anasazirose,

 

If you're going to take the view that everything has to be either black or white. Right or wrong. No possibility of a gray area. Then you're correct. Terapeak is wrong.

 

Nevertheless, Terapeak is still pretty much the most accurate information you can get anywhere, when it is interpreted with critical thought and judgement. If you will only accept data that doesn't require interpretation, there isn't any. There is no perfect data. If you insist on perfect, then you will either have to do without, or you will be deceived.

 

Data is not black or white, and neither right or wrong, it has no meaning of it's own. The data from Terapeak is just numbers, ones and zeros, nothing more. Without interpretation, it doesn't mean anything. Just like all other data.

 

I'm not trying to be difficult, condescending, pedantic, or snarky. This is the nature of data. One of the biggest difficulties with scientific research is that data can be misinterpreted. Once more information becomes available, the scientists may be able to see another interpretation, that fits the data better.  This happens all the time, in science. Theories change, evolve, are replaced.

 

In the case of Terapeak, we need to consider what kind of definition could Terapeak be using for "paid". The information  (paid or not paid) has to come from eBay, and eBay could be getting it from a couple of sources. The payment processor (MP or Adyen) could say that it was paid, but they might not be aware if the payment was fraudulent, or from a stolen credit card, because it might take months before that was determined. Or, the information might be from the seller marking an item paid, and eBay has no way to know if the seller was deceived or cheated. For very high payment amounts, the chances are that MP would not be involved, and who knows if the $5M payment went through a real escrow service or a fraudulent one.

 

The market data for beanie babies has been so mucked up by scammers, that the only meaning there is in the market data, is that is completely mucked up and useless. The only useful conclusion that can be drawn, is that the market data which apparently shows they have high value, is wrong. If you interpret the data by eliminating the high-priced outliers, you could probably get a better idea of the real value and demand for them (both fairly low).

 

In a very few cases, the sellers who supposedly sold items like high-priced beanie babies (or common old stamps or coins, for another example) have shared enough information for us to realize that they were dealing with scammers who were using the apparent high prices to take advantage of the sellers and steal from them. Most often, the scammers stole money in the form of gift cards, or delivery fees, or insurance payments, like the vehicle scammers do.

 


Recorded and reported data is supposed to be correct.  Data can be incorrect but the time for interpretation and correction is before it's reported.  Ofc, if data is found to be incorrect after it's reported, is needs corrected or at least noted beside it.  Perhaps footnotes by cancelled sales or another column within Terapeak. 

 

I def disagree that "Data is not black or white, and neither right or wrong"

 

You said, "I'm not trying to be difficult, condescending, pedantic, or snarky. "  I never thought you were.  I hope I don't come across that way either. 

 

I still use Terapeak, just with a jaundiced eye because I know that while it's supposed to be accurate and for the most part may be right, but it can be wrong.  Like a friend that tells the truth....most of the time.  They can not be trusted. 

 

I am enjoying downsizing our possessions on ebay, and as long as I'm getting more than yard sale prices, I'm smiling.  I also like that I can come to the community for answers.  Thank you for taking time to explain things, and for your opinion. 

 

No matter what we can or can't sell on ebay and for how much, our TIME is our most precious possession, so thank you for giving me yours.

 

 

Message 20 of 22
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Re: Can anyone please tell me how to to research the results of past auctions on rare items. TY.

Worthpoint and Ebay's Terapeak.  Although, I hear and read a lot of bad reviews regarding Worthpoint.  I only use the service as a reference tool, and not as a price guide. 

Message 21 of 22
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Re: Can anyone please tell me how to to research the results of past auctions on rare items. TY.

Correct or incorrect is a judgement call. You are asking for the data to be edited, culled, for some of it to be deleted or adjusted, based on characteristics that have not been defined or agreed upon. You speak as though "correct" and "incorrect" are obvious characteristics that require no definition. But they're not, and they are not well defined.

 

I have tried to explain how the data is chosen for inclusion, as best I understand it. It would be  reasonable to conclude that they have chosen to include data which, to them, is correct. You don't agree with their definition. You would like it to be changed.

 

I don't bother trying to change eBay. I have learned from experience that they don't care what I think, and I have seen that they are frequently illogical, short-sighted, narcissistic, and make some of the most unbelievably stupid decisions. They will change them, sometimes, if the stupid action affects their bottom line. But they're are not going to listen to either of us on the subject. They could not care less what we think

 

So I have learned not to try to change eBay. It's like banging your head on a brick wall. The wall is going to win, and you will get a bloody face, and a headache. It's better to just learn to work with (or around) the wall, so it doesn't interfere with what you need to do.

 

Message 22 of 22
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