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Do you expect this to last forever?

I try to neither be pessimistic or optimistic, but realistic.

I source from a lot of places. Estate Sales, Auctions, Garage Sales, etc.

I started doing this at the age of 14 under my parents account way back in 2007.

 

I used to go to auctions and fill up a car for under $100.

 

Farms started consolidating and the farm auctions dried up around 2009-2012.

 

Gone were the days of the entire household's contents being thrown into boxes and totes on 3-6 hay racks.

Did REALLY well on electronics since most in attendance were older folks. You'd also sometimes find a $100-$1000 item at the bottom of a tote. The auctioneers might of been lazy, but antiques wasn't their niche, it was land, tractors, implements, etc.

 

Was also one of the first people with a smartphone to be able to lookup sold comps.

 

Around 2014, as if someone flipped a massive switch, video games dried up. I went from finding as many as 20-30 classic systems (Nintendo, Super Nintendo, Sega Genesis, etc) a year to 1-2.

 

In the same vain, personal computers dried up as well. Too many people didn't want their personal info somehow getting out there. Old school Apple computers are a rarity anymore as well.

 

The biggest hit was Covid. Half the auction companies in a 200 mile radius retired, the other half went online.

 

When they started taking credit cards and began shipping nationwide, prices skyrocketed. Most beforehand only took cash or check.

 

When I went to court a month ago over a bad landlord, there were TWO DOZEN people ahead of me who were being sued by credit card companies. Young adults being stupid? NOPE, all were 55-75 years old. Hoarding and buying junk from TV shows like QVC and Jewelry TV from what I heard from some. So I can imagine others are just buying en masse from online auctions too. Oh...if you are on social security or disability, they can't garnish your wages. They know they are "untouchable" and that is why they do it.

 

Thrift stores have became way more selective with what goes onto the floor and what goes online in the last 5 years. I can't blame resellers for this (some do, which is incorrect) as places like Goodwill have been selling on their own sites as well as eBay since 1999 or so. They have just become greedier doing this, as with pricing as well.

 

I'm not saying it's not impossible anymore, it's just increasingly becoming harder. I used to go to one sale or two and have enough for a week's worth of listings. Now I have to hit up 3-4 thrift stores, a dozen or so yard sales, 1-2 estate sales and 1-2 auctions a week just to make the same amount of sales.

 

Since pretty much everyone under the age of 50 is online, more and more gets looked up. More and more never makes it to various souring channels.

 

You also have a bit of wave of younger flippers muddying the waters, who often crash and burn because they see people with YouTube channels claiming to make a million a month selling Funko Pops and Vinyl Records, and don't realize 99% of these channels inflate their actual profitability for clicks and views. Some now are making more off their YT channels than flipping, so it makes it VERY easy to fudge numbers and make up sales for clicks.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Message 1 of 7
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Do you expect this to last forever?

I've watched a few of the YouTubers and come to the same conclusion.

The only ones I look at every so often now are the ones who have a calm, matter-of-fact delivery and talk about the downs, as well as the ups. The others are simply influencers performing for the camera, IMO.

Message 2 of 7
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Do you expect this to last forever?

Yes and No.
Plenty of estate auctions still going on (go there, spend a day, live auctions).
Also, Plenty of the same that have switched to on-line, but still basically local (sit in front of computer a couple hours as the auction is going on, then go pick up and pay on-site the next day).
    My "biggest" non-eBay-Search issue was caused by Covid.  People were not working normal jobs, SO...they began listing their own stuff on eBay.   Almost overnight I went from 10 competitors to 100. 
The new home grown competition made money and said "Dang! This is more than I made working! I'm going to keep doing this!"
I do think it's heading back the other directing now though.  A one time 1099 tax bill at the end of the year is lots different than it coming out of a paycheck each week.  
BUT, not all, and net yet.   I'm still battling this new competition and thanks to eBay...There's just no real way to combat it like there used to be

Message 3 of 7
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Do you expect this to last forever?

Your post is a good recap of how things have changed.

 

Auctioneers who I know, who sold 500+ lots every Saturday night have semi-retired with a small number of lots for sale online once a month. This included one that I did business with for over 30 years.

 

Monthly specialty auctions have folded.

 

Sourcing now retires more personal contacts. Flea market dealers who are pickers often find items they know I will buy, and know what I will pay. Fortunately, I have far more inventory than is listed, and for items I no longer wish to sell online, I am a supplier to others.

 

There will always be product that people want to be rid of. Selling on Ebay is no longer as appealing to normal people. Freecycle, Craig's List and Facebook Marketplace is also a PITA for normal people or becomes one quickly.

 

You are apparently young enough to adapt, and if you are good with people, you have a future. I am so old that I will not live to dispose of all I own, and my children will take the low effort path to dispose of much of it. An opportunity for those who have wide social networks.

Message 4 of 7
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Do you expect this to last forever?

Things have changed indeed and i think we need to evolve with the market. Some of my friends have started estate sales services where they go in and liquidate households over a weekend and take a cut. Not only do they make good bank, they typically can pick out certain items and buy them directly from there clients before the public gets its chance. They actually limit that practice so they can still have inventory pickers will get excited about. Some of my other friends concentrate on the higher value items that may take more capital but they end up with larger returns without the storage/space issue. As you eluded, picking is in right now. Its a Fad that i think will shrink once something else gets there attention. We (speaking for myself) have had to think of the future opportunities that may not be collectable now but within the near future. I still buy certain items that i will pack away until the day comes when it becomes the thing to have. (Obviously does not always work but i stay within Musical Instruments which i know well) I was picking pre internet when the Pennysaver, Want Ads, Recycler were the way we found our treasures to flip. We would go to the newstand on Tuesday mornings (5am) to get the early copy of the Recycler and there would be a small line of gritty grifting flippers. It did seem more fun and a lot easier to find the gems.

 

Great post! I am optimistic and believe the future is bright.

- Roasting id
Message 5 of 7
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Do you expect this to last forever?

@quadcitypickers  You make a lot of good points.

 

All we can do is keep adapting.

 

Or find something else to do.

 

 

 

 

 

Message 6 of 7
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Do you expect this to last forever?

Last estate sale I attended in person was about a year ago. 
Spent $1,200
Should gross $100k  (hopefully there's not $50k in labor... ugh)

I still see these auctions adds pop up all the time around here though.

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